"Personalized Estimates of Benefit From Preventive Care Guidelines"
Annals Aug 6
http://annals.org/article.aspx?articleid=1722496
"Results of Base-Case Analysis: Increases in life expectancy varied more than 100-fold across USPSTF recommendations, and the rank order of benefits varied considerably among patients. For an obese man aged 62 years who smoked and had hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, and a family history of colorectal cancer, the model's top 3 recommendations (from most to least gain in life expectancy) were tobacco cessation (adding 2.8 life-years), weight loss (adding 1.6 life-years), and blood pressure control (adding 0.8 life-year). Lower-ranked recommendations were a healthier diet, aspirin use, cholesterol reduction, colonoscopy, screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm, and HIV testing (each adding 0.1 to 0.3 life-years). For a person with the same characteristics plus uncontrolled type 2 diabetes mellitus, the model's top 3 recommendations were diabetes control, tobacco cessation, and weight loss (each adding 1.4 to 1.8 life-years)."
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